Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.069201 0.080940 0.094022 0.109675 0.127893 0.148426 0.173327
2025-09-14 0.050755 0.065987 0.084777 0.109642 0.141673 0.181546 0.234973
2025-09-21 0.039053 0.055092 0.076491 0.107088 0.149696 0.206926 0.289681
2025-09-28 0.031069 0.046888 0.069403 0.103719 0.154664 0.227497 0.339601
2025-10-05 0.026861 0.042966 0.067199 0.106217 0.167417 0.259713 0.409573
2025-10-12 0.023262 0.039198 0.064398 0.107016 0.177222 0.288258 0.477329
2025-10-19 0.020321 0.035911 0.061709 0.107334 0.185923 0.315715 0.546482
2025-10-26 0.018169 0.033552 0.060097 0.109021 0.196831 0.347741 0.626931
2025-11-02 0.016637 0.032009 0.059592 0.112421 0.210938 0.386627 0.723873
2025-11-09 0.014360 0.028734 0.055511 0.108716 0.211627 0.401743 0.779750
2025-11-16 0.012860 0.026706 0.053423 0.108380 0.218399 0.428502 0.860284
2025-11-23 0.011498 0.024739 0.051165 0.107351 0.223583 0.452681 0.938562
2025-11-30 0.010628 0.023683 0.050617 0.109784 0.236204 0.493256 1.055569
2025-12-07 0.009533 0.021986 0.048534 0.108748 0.241552 0.519945 1.147700
2025-12-14 0.008439 0.020126 0.045843 0.106016 0.242875 0.538371 1.224555
2025-12-21 0.007441 0.018332 0.043045 0.102641 0.242280 0.552522 1.293701
2025-12-28 0.006974 0.017719 0.042821 0.105105 0.255211 0.597828 1.438597
2026-01-04 0.006445 0.016875 0.041942 0.105894 0.264309 0.635519 1.570540
2026-01-11 0.005943 0.016022 0.040927 0.106208 0.272285 0.671512 1.702910
2026-01-18 0.005565 0.015434 0.040482 0.107878 0.283808 0.717267 1.864808
2026-01-25 0.005305 0.015122 0.040689 0.111243 0.300051 0.776422 2.067629
2026-02-01 0.004739 0.013887 0.038343 0.107576 0.297552 0.788482 2.151118
2026-02-08 0.004377 0.013174 0.037287 0.107244 0.303883 0.823841 2.300280